Poll analyst says there is a 50-50 chance of Anwar becoming prime minister for a second term

SHAH ALAM – It is not surprising that PKR Secretary-General Datuk Seri Saifuddin Nasution Ismail is rooting for his political leader to become prime minister for a second term, but he The big question remains whether the coalition government will be able to win the next general election.

In fact, political observers opine that Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim has a 50-50 chance of retaining his post for a second term.

Dr Oh Aye Sun, a senior fellow at the Singapore Institute of International Affairs, told Sinar Daily that it was not surprising that politicians would want to stay in government for as long as possible.

“It is not surprising that Mr. Saifuddin would say that on behalf of a political leader.

“If his coalition government wins the next general election, he will probably continue as minister because there are no other strong candidates in the ruling coalition.

“But whether his coalition can defeat the next GE is a big question mark,” he said.

Mr. Oh said Mr. Anwar was unlikely to be able to meet the needs of voters who preferred a conservative government.

“Many voters appear to want a much more conservative and backward government than the current one, and Mr. Anwar seems unable to shake that preference,” he said. .

Meanwhile, Associate Professor Shaza Shukri, a political analyst at the International Islamic University Malaysia (IIUM), said Anwar and Pakatan Harapan were still struggling to win over Malays.

He said this would definitely hamper Anwar’s chances of retaining his position in the next general election.

“I think Mr Anwar has a 50-50 chance of winning a second term. It depends on how Umno views the relationship going forward.

“Anwar and Pakatan Harapan are of course still struggling to convince the Malays,” she said.

But Shaza said Anwar could still succeed if the government could turn things around economically.

“By (improving the economy) in this way, PH can win the support of the middle class (M40) and this may be enough to keep them (the government) in the ascendancy,” she said .

Meanwhile, Dr Abdul Aziz Azizam, a political analyst at the University of Technology Mara (UiTM), said it was too early to make predictions about the next prime minister.

“As you know, the current government is grappling with various issues and challenges, especially those related to people’s lives.

“Every action taken will determine the public’s level of satisfaction with the current government.

“If the people have a sense of security and confidence in the abilities the prime minister has shown, there may be a chance for him to remain in office for the next term,” he said.

However, Aziz said that if people are dissatisfied with the performance of the current government, they may choose an alternative party.

“In any case, in this democracy it is the people who decide who will govern, but their choice depends on their level of satisfaction and trust in a particular political party,” he reasoned.

Speaking on Sunday’s Kelual Sekejyap podcast, hosted by former Umno youth leader Khairy Jamaluddin, Saifuddin, who is also interior minister, said he wanted Anwar to serve as prime minister for a second term.

Critics have repeatedly lamented the slow pace of implementing reforms, despite being led by reformists.

There was also criticism of the government’s regressive moves, such as the issue of citizenship reform.

Apart from that, the government was also criticized for cutting subsidies, increasing service tax and increasing cost of living.

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