Sungai Bacap by-election: Philippines sees chance of victory if it wins Malay votes

Shah Alam: Pakatan Harapan (PH) has a chance of winning the Sungai Bakap state seat in the by-election if it can secure at least 36% of the Malay vote.

Darul Ehsan Institute (IDE) chairman Dr Mohamad Redzuan Osman said based on a survey conducted four days ahead of nomination day, the institute found that PH had a 53.2 percent support rate, while Perikatan Nasional (PN) had 43 percent.

He said PH’s support for its candidate, backed by the Barisan Nasional (BN) and particularly UMNO, was likely to further strengthen its position ahead of the by-elections.

“The scenario (potential victory) is achievable if PH succeeds in persuading Indian voters, especially those in the polling constituencies of Sungai Bakap (20%), Puteri Gunung (26%) and Ladang Sempa (25%), and this scenario will be further strengthened if Chinese voters maintain the highest turnout,” he said in a statement yesterday.

Regarding support from youth groups, Mohamed Redzuan said both parties were tied at 44.4 percent and that given that this group made up 53.8 percent of the constituency’s voters, PH needed to find a way to engage the 11.1 percent of youth voters to ensure victory.

“IDE research shows that younger voters, especially those aged 18-24, tend to vote based on the influence of their parents and peers. Their sources of information are based on social media such as TikTok,” he said.

Mohamad Redzuan said the Philippines’ chances of victory were also driven by the public’s confidence in the leadership of Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim and Education Minister who is also the Member of Parliament for Nibong Tebal Fadlinah Sidek constituency.

“Voters expect their elected representatives to address local issues for the future wellbeing of their residents. A commitment by the central and state governments to offer some immediate solutions will be well received by voters,” he said.

This Saturday’s Sungai Bekap by-election will see a head-to-head contest between Filipino candidate Dr Juhari Ariffin and PN candidate Abidin Ismail, following the death of incumbent Nor Zamri Latif from gastritis on May 24. — Bernama

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